The Geopolitics of Sri Lanka’s Crisis

On October 26, 2018, Sri Lankan President, Maithripala Sirisena sacked Prime Minister, Ranil Wickremesinghe and replaced him with Mahinda Rajapaksa. Sirisena also dissolved the legislature and called for snap elections, however, the country’s Supreme Court overturned the presidential decree. On November 14, Sri Lanka’s Parliament passed a motion of no-confidence against the controversially appointed Prime…

Deterrence Stability in South Asia: Between the Devil and the Deep Blue Sea

India and Pakistan’s seaward nuclearization has received great scholarly attention off late. The thrust of recent literature on the issue focuses on whether an at-sea deterrent has bolstered deterrence stability or aggravated chances of an outbreak of a crisis with escalatory potential. While proponents of a sea-based nuclear force argue that it will augment second-strike…

Afghanistan: War and Democracy

In October 2018, the US-led war against the Taliban insurgents in Afghanistan entered its 18thyear. Coincidently, during the same month, Afghans went to polls to elect the third batch of their members of the parliament. The current Afghan parliament’s five-year term expired in June 2015, but security fears and internal political strife prevented the Independent Election Commission…

India-Russia S-400 Deal: Regional Implications

Three years ago, in December 2015, India approved the purchase of the Russian-made S-400 Triumf air defense system, an anti-ballistic missile, anti-aircraft system, with the aim of deploying five of the batteries against China and Pakistan. Last week, after multiple rounds of negotiations, India and Russia closed the deal at close to USD 5.2 billion with an official announcement…

Deterrence Stability In South Asia: Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea

In a 2014 article titled “To Sea or Not to Sea: A Nuclear Triad in South Asia,” I had argued that nuclear weapons at sea would help strengthen deterrence stability in South Asia–quoting Professor Mario Carranza, the article highlighted that acquiring a second strike capability would ensure “stability of the balance of terror.”  In light of recent developments…

Hot take on Elections 2018: Towards a New Pakistan?

By Amina Afzal The July 2018 election has been criticized for being engineered in favor of Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf, of being contested under China’s shadow, and for bringing religion to the fore of Pakistani politics. Yet the nation chose to exercise its right to elect a new government and cast their votes notwithstanding the terrorist attack in Quetta and despite the…